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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definición de términos:
Ganancias

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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OPV

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Inflation pressure – opportunity for gold?

Fecha: 13.2.2023

Another Monday, another week for market opportunities. I woke up, made coffee, and checked the news. Many sources are claiming that despite January’s inflation was lower than before, it is now expected to get higher again. And I thought to myself, that this can only mean one thing. Possible opportunity on gold, because it was always regarded as safe haven – in other words, when inflation was rising, people intended to invest into gold. I have been following this instrument for quite some time now and saw many interesting things on the chart itself.

Another Monday, another week for market opportunities. I woke up, made coffee, and checked the news. Many sources are claiming that despite January’s inflation was lower than before, it is now expected to get higher again. And I thought to myself, that this can only mean one thing. Possible opportunity on gold, because it was always regarded as safe haven – in other words, when inflation was rising, people intended to invest into gold. I have been following this instrument for quite some time now and saw many interesting things on the chart itself.

First, I noticed (and anyone checking the chart probably) a massive correction from about two weeks ago. The price of gold rapidly dropped from 1951 USD per ounce to current 1855 USD per ounce. * This means a 5% discount for us traders. I was checking for the reasons behind the drop, and all I could figure out was the inflation, FED and ECB meetings and of course, interest rates. When the price got steadier, I performed some technical analysis. From the chart below, I noticed the bearish channel. This channel was forming from 3rd of February until 9th of February, when my prediction turned out to be correct. When the channel “ended” it was followed by a small drop. After the price found a support level, it has again started forming another pattern – falling wedge. And if theory is any correct, after the channel closes, the price could rise.[1]

Because of volatility on the markets, I decided to do also fundamental analysis. Better be safe than sorry. As for important market events for the next 3 days, there are three things that could have major effect on the price of gold.

- Today EU will hold meetings, where they will discuss EU economic forecasts.

- Tomorrow USA will release monthly and yearly CPI which have great effect on USD and eventually on gold.

- On Wednesday ECB president Lagarde will hold speech.

So, my fundamental analysis is as follows. EU is very close to the ongoing war and members are helping financially. Meaning that there is a lot of burden on the euro.  On the other hand, USA is one of the leading economies in the world, and their inflation rate is important for the price of gold. And last, ECB meeting can bring some basic volatility to the capital markets. After rereading the technical analysis and considering the fundamental part, I have decided to go with long position for short/mid long term.

*

Obrázok2

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Link to 5 year chart: https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold

Advertencia de riesgo: Los CFD son instrumentos complejos y conllevan un riesgo elevado de perder dinero rápidamente debido al apalancamiento. El 81.75% % de las cuentas de inversores minoristas pierden dinero en la negociación de CFD con este proveedor Debe considerar si comprende el funcionamiento de los CFD y si puede permitirse asumir un riesgo elevado de perder su dinero.