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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Inflation pressure – opportunity for gold?

Date: 13.2.2023

Another Monday, another week for market opportunities. I woke up, made coffee, and checked the news. Many sources are claiming that despite January’s inflation was lower than before, it is now expected to get higher again. And I thought to myself, that this can only mean one thing. Possible opportunity on gold, because it was always regarded as safe haven – in other words, when inflation was rising, people intended to invest into gold. I have been following this instrument for quite some time now and saw many interesting things on the chart itself.

Another Monday, another week for market opportunities. I woke up, made coffee, and checked the news. Many sources are claiming that despite January’s inflation was lower than before, it is now expected to get higher again. And I thought to myself, that this can only mean one thing. Possible opportunity on gold, because it was always regarded as safe haven – in other words, when inflation was rising, people intended to invest into gold. I have been following this instrument for quite some time now and saw many interesting things on the chart itself.

First, I noticed (and anyone checking the chart probably) a massive correction from about two weeks ago. The price of gold rapidly dropped from 1951 USD per ounce to current 1855 USD per ounce. * This means a 5% discount for us traders. I was checking for the reasons behind the drop, and all I could figure out was the inflation, FED and ECB meetings and of course, interest rates. When the price got steadier, I performed some technical analysis. From the chart below, I noticed the bearish channel. This channel was forming from 3rd of February until 9th of February, when my prediction turned out to be correct. When the channel “ended” it was followed by a small drop. After the price found a support level, it has again started forming another pattern – falling wedge. And if theory is any correct, after the channel closes, the price could rise.[1]

Because of volatility on the markets, I decided to do also fundamental analysis. Better be safe than sorry. As for important market events for the next 3 days, there are three things that could have major effect on the price of gold.

- Today EU will hold meetings, where they will discuss EU economic forecasts.

- Tomorrow USA will release monthly and yearly CPI which have great effect on USD and eventually on gold.

- On Wednesday ECB president Lagarde will hold speech.

So, my fundamental analysis is as follows. EU is very close to the ongoing war and members are helping financially. Meaning that there is a lot of burden on the euro.  On the other hand, USA is one of the leading economies in the world, and their inflation rate is important for the price of gold. And last, ECB meeting can bring some basic volatility to the capital markets. After rereading the technical analysis and considering the fundamental part, I have decided to go with long position for short/mid long term.

*

Obrázok2

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Link to 5 year chart: https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold

Date: 7.2.2024
Toyota and the Hybrid Boom

We have seen some interesting developments in the auto market in recent days that have had a direct impact on my trading and investing. Shares of Toyota Motor reached a new record high on Tuesday, driven largely by the release of their improved financial results. * This trend did not remain isolated to Toyota. Rivals like Honda and Nissan also posted gains. As a trader and investor, I decided to use this momentum to my advantage.

Date: 31.1.2024
Microsoft at a Crossroads: Innovative AI Growth vs. High Costs

Today was a big day for me in the stock market, especially because of the news from Microsoft. As a long-term investor in the technology sector, I view Microsoft as a key player that can significantly influence the direction of the market. Finding out that the company beat market estimates in quarterly earnings and revenue, thanks to new AI features, is proof to me that investing in innovation is paying off. However, with the rising cost of developing AI features, there are also some concerns.

Date: 24.1.2024
Netflix's Triumph: Surging Ahead in the Streaming Wars with Record Subscriber Growth

Today, I decided to pay attention to Netflix's recent results, which may have a significant impact on my investment strategy. With huge subscriber growth in the last quarter of 2023, when Netflix added a record 13.1 million subscribers, the company has once again emerged as a leader in the world of streaming services. This achievement is even more impressive when you consider that Netflix's total number of subscribers now stands at 260 million.

Date: 17.1.2024
Accenture's AI Mastery

As a dedicated follower of the IT services sector, the recent news about Accenture (NYSE: ACN) has left me with a heightened sense of optimism about my investment portfolio. The announcement that Accenture's brand value has escalated to an impressive $40.5 billion, primarily due to its strategic pivot towards generative AI, is a testament to the company's foresight and adaptability.

Date: 10.1.2024
Tesla's Game-Changing Model 3 Refresh

Today, I find myself particularly buoyant as an investor, buoyed by the latest developments from Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). The automotive giant has just rolled out a restyled version of its Model 3 compact sedan in North America, mirroring its earlier launches in China and Europe. What's especially heartening is that this rollout comes at unchanged prices, a strategic move that seems to be a blend of market acumen and customer loyalty.

Risk warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.20% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.