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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Apple Breaks New Ground with AI Optimism

Date: 16.10.2024

Today marked yet another milestone in my investment journey with Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) The stock soared to a record high of $237.49, extending its remarkable run over the past several months.* This upward momentum is largely fueled by optimism surrounding Apple's recent launch of AI-powered iPhones, which have quickly caught the market's attention.

Apple, the world's largest company by market valuation, has now crossed the $3.6 trillion mark. Observing this strength in Apple amidst a broader rally in the technology sector has been both encouraging and intriguing.* With a 37%[1] rise in the last six months, Apple has outpaced the Nasdaq 100 Index, which has gained 15.5%[2] during the same period.* Such performance further cements its leadership position in the tech space.

AI-Enabled iPhone Launch Drives Optimism

A key driver behind this rally has been the introduction of the AI-enabled iPhone, which went on sale last month, along with the latest iPad mini designed to complement the new AI capabilities. The company appears to be positioning itself at the forefront of the ongoing artificial intelligence revolution, and the market seems to share in this optimism.

Positive Analyst Outlook

I noticed earlier that Evercore ISI issued a tactical outperform recommendation on Apple shares ahead of its upcoming quarterly results. The firm argues that concerns about the Chinese smartphone market are overblown and believes the strong upgrade cycle in the U.S., supported by surveys indicating robust demand, could more than compensate for any weakness in China. I find myself aligning with this view, especially as Apple's footprint in developing markets continues to grow. [1]

Investor Sentiment Remains Strong

Melius Research has also weighed in positively, highlighting Apple's "unparalleled buyback" program and suggesting that the company is positioned for sustained growth through a multi-year iPhone cycle. While initial signs of consumer demand for the AI-powered iPhone may seem lukewarm, investor sentiment remains steadfast, underpinned by Apple's reputation as a safe haven amid global economic uncertainties. The potential for a significant upgrade cycle in the coming quarters is, in my view, a catalyst that could further accelerate growth.

What's next?

Apple's stock has proven to be a cornerstone of resilience and innovation, traits that are increasingly invaluable in today's volatile market environment. As I look ahead, the trajectory of this iconic company remains an exciting story to follow. I am optimistic that the coming quarters, driven by a focus on artificial intelligence and significant upgrade demand, will fuel Apple's continued growth and deliver substantial returns for long-term investors like me. In the case of short-term stock price declines, I will stay with the bullish sentiment for now based on all fundamental parameters and will only use the decline to buy bargains. [2]

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results

 

[1], [2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.


[1] Apple Inc. stock price performance over the past five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/aapl:us

[2] Nasdaq 100 price performance over the past five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/us100:ind

Date: 27.11.2024
Uneven Recovery in the Global Smartphone Market

This year, I’ve been closely watching the global smartphone market, which has finally rebounded after two years of decline. The numbers are encouraging, with a 6.2% growth and total shipments reaching an estimated 1.24 billion units. However, as I delve deeper, I see a more nuanced picture. Apple, despite its dominance, managed only a modest 0.4% increase in iPhone volumes, signaling the intense competition from Android-based manufacturers, especially in China and emerging markets.

Date: 20.11.2024
Qualcomm Expands Horizons Beyond Smartphones: I'm Buying This Promising Player at a Low Price

Today I took the time to analyze Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) in detail, which seems to be on a very interesting development trajectory. As the world's largest seller of smartphone processors, the company recognizes the need to diversify its business and find new sources of growth, which leads me as an investor to think more deeply about its future potential.

Date: 13.11.2024
Shopify's Growth Signals the Strength of Its Transformative Strategy

Today, I followed the market with a particular interest in Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a company that has become synonymous with e-commerce over the years. Looking at their latest financial results and strategic moves, it's clear that their transformation into a platform for larger businesses is bearing fruit.

Date: 6.11.2024
Nvidia Overtakes Apple as the World’s Largest Company: The AI Boom in Full Swing

Today, I find myself reflecting on Nvidia Corp.’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) meteoric rise to become the largest company in the world, surpassing none other than Apple Inc. Nvidia’s stock rose 2.9%[1] to $139.93, pushing its market cap to an astonishing $3.43 trillion, overtaking Apple’s $3.38 trillion valuation.* To put this into perspective, Microsoft, which Nvidia already surpassed last month, holds a valuation of $3.06 trillion. What stands out to me is how artificial intelligence has fundamentally reshaped Wall Street’s landscape, with Nvidia emerging as the clearest beneficiary of the AI revolution.

Date: 30.10.2024
OpenAI and Broadcom’s Strategic AI Chip Development

Today, I've been closely following the news about OpenAI's plans to collaborate with Broadcom Inc. on its own AI chip, designed specifically for inference – the process of running AI models after they've been trained. This potential game-changer is attracting the attention of the tech world, as OpenAI seeks to develop a solution focused on responding to user requests rather than traditional training dominated by Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs).

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