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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

May
2025
Definition of terms:
Earnings
IPOs
Splits
Week 22

Apple set a milestone on stock market

Date: 3.7.2023

Casual browsing through the news on Investing again offered me a new treat. Apple has set a milestone on the stock markets – it is the first company to close at the end of trading day with a market cap over 3 trillion USD.* I had to read it twice to see if I got the number correctly. I did, and I have to say I was impressed. However, in the past Apple already passed the 3 trillion USD mark, but it did not close at that point, but lower.*

Article said that on Friday last week, Apple's shares reached a milestone by closing above a 3 trillion USD market cap, becoming the first company to achieve this feat. The surge in Apple's stock price was driven by Citi analysts initiating research coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of 240 USD per share, which is the highest on Wall Street. Despite a significant year-to-date rally of approximately 47%, the analysts see further upside potential in Apple's stock, citing the company's ability to gain market share from Android phones and anticipating around 30% additional growth from current levels.*[1] The analysts also believe that the market is underestimating the potential for continued gross margin expansion, which, along with growing services sales mix and a strong balance sheet, forms the basis of their optimistic outlook for Apple. While Apple's shares briefly traded above the 3 trillion USD mark in early 2022, they had not closed above it until this recent milestone.*

What more would I need to this good news, I asked myself. The only regret I have now is that I did not invest into Apple stocks a while ago. But this is life of a trader. You miss some opportunities, but you get another one. Even though I did not enter the Apple position yet, I decided to listen to other analysts’ predictions for possible growth and will enter a trade, however, carefully.[2] Just in case I decided to check the movement of stocks.

As I was scrolling to the past prices of Apple stocks, I was shocked that in the early beginning they were also selling for 9 cents per stock. So, through the whole course on stock exchange, stocks managed to make a return of more than 92,000%. Only in the past five years, stocks made 312% growth*. That’s it, I have seen enough. When the market opens, I will for sure enter the trade on long position.

Picture1

Movement of Apple stocks in the last five years. (Source: Investing) *

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1,2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Date: 26.2.2025
Super Micro Averts the Threat of Delisting and Rises Sharply

After analyzing the quarterly results of Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), I noticed a sharp increase in the price of their shares. In extended trading, they rose by about 22% after the company filed its late financial statements on time to meet the Nasdaq exchange's requirements to remain in the index. The move removed the threat of delisting that hung over the firm due to financial reporting issues and the loss of an auditor in 2023. At the same time, Super Micro announced that the new BDO auditor confirmed the compliance of the results with GAAP accounting principles, which managed to stabilize the situation. What awaits us next?

Date: 19.2.2025
Intel and Speculation About a Possible Company Split

Today, I noticed that Intel's stock has risen by nearly 50% from its February low, clearly indicating that the price is reacting to ongoing speculation about a potential company split.* Intel has been struggling with the loss of its technological edge and market share, with its performance lagging behind competitors like Nvidia, which dominates the AI chip segment. Ongoing negotiations between TSMC, Broadcom, and the Silver Lake investment group suggest that Intel's leadership is actively exploring ways to regain its market position and restore investor confidence.

Date: 12.2.2025
Alibaba and Apple Forge AI Partnership in China

This morning, I noticed a sharp increase in Alibaba shares – almost 8%1 since last week. The stock thus continues the bullish trend that we last saw in September last year.* I immediately started to find out what was behind it, and I came across an interesting piece of news. Apple is reportedly working with Alibaba to develop AI features for iPhones in China. This news immediately caught my attention, so I started looking for ways to benefit from it.

Date: 5.2.2025
AMD Slips After Earnings Report

For us investors following the semiconductor sector, today was very significant. AMD announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2024, beating expectations in terms of both sales and profit. Nevertheless, the shares fell by more than 9% after the end of regular trading hours.* This decline subsequently raised questions that I also dealt with. Is this an overreaction of the market, or is it a legitimate warning sign?

Date: 29.1.2025
ASML Exceeds Expectations: A Buying Opportunity?

Today's trading day was very interesting for me as I focused on the results of ASML, a leading player in chip manufacturing equipment, which published its results for the fourth quarter. ASML reported orders worth €7.09 billion, well above expectations. This order intake is a significant indicator that the demand for advanced equipment, driven by the growth of the AI field, remains strong.

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