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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

May
2025
Definition of terms:
Earnings
IPOs
Splits
Week 18

ChatGPT got a competition

Date: 22.3.2023

Curiosity got better part of me, as probably is the same with many other people, and I went to try what ChatGPT can offer me. I had to admit that I was very surprised. It is something completely new and innovative. It basically knows answer to almost everything (happening before 2021) and can help you in many ways. However, I saw some discomfort of users, when they found out that Microsoft decided to charge a subscription for it. But hey, on the other hand, they need to get the investment back in some way. And to make things even worse, ChatGPT got a competition – Bard, AI of Google.

Article on Reuters said that Google has launched its chatbot Bard to the public in the US and UK, inviting users to join a waiting list for English-language access to the program. The chatbot, which was previously only available to approved testers, is described as an experiment in collaboration with generative AI, a technology that uses past data to create content. Google is seeking users and feedback to compete with Microsoft in the fast-moving race on AI technology. The companies are putting AI into more users' hands, with the aim of reshaping how people work and winning business in the process. Despite recent announcements by both companies, Google says its focus is on users rather than competitive dynamics.

So far so good for Google. The rest of the article reported that during a demonstration, Google's chatbot Bard was shown to produce blocks of text instantly and provide users with three different versions or drafts of a response. It also includes a "Google it" button for users who require web results. However, unlike ChatGPT, Bard is not capable of generating computer code, and its memory of past exchanges has been limited, and Google has not yet used Bard for advertising purposes. Accuracy remains a concern, with a Google pop-up warning that Bard will not always get it right. During the demo, Bard made a few mistakes, and Krawczyk highlighted the limitations of the technology and the need to be deliberate in rolling it out.

What I learned from all of this is that Bard will need more time to learn, to be actually competitive to ChatGPT. However, with AI you never know, as it is learning on the run, continuously. And because I know the company, I have decided to go on and buy some shares of Alphabet. They have proven history, and most importantly, they are company with good plans and always striving for better.

Picture1

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* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Link to a 5 year chart: https://www.investing.com/equities/google-inc

Date: 26.2.2025
Super Micro Averts the Threat of Delisting and Rises Sharply

After analyzing the quarterly results of Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), I noticed a sharp increase in the price of their shares. In extended trading, they rose by about 22% after the company filed its late financial statements on time to meet the Nasdaq exchange's requirements to remain in the index. The move removed the threat of delisting that hung over the firm due to financial reporting issues and the loss of an auditor in 2023. At the same time, Super Micro announced that the new BDO auditor confirmed the compliance of the results with GAAP accounting principles, which managed to stabilize the situation. What awaits us next?

Date: 19.2.2025
Intel and Speculation About a Possible Company Split

Today, I noticed that Intel's stock has risen by nearly 50% from its February low, clearly indicating that the price is reacting to ongoing speculation about a potential company split.* Intel has been struggling with the loss of its technological edge and market share, with its performance lagging behind competitors like Nvidia, which dominates the AI chip segment. Ongoing negotiations between TSMC, Broadcom, and the Silver Lake investment group suggest that Intel's leadership is actively exploring ways to regain its market position and restore investor confidence.

Date: 12.2.2025
Alibaba and Apple Forge AI Partnership in China

This morning, I noticed a sharp increase in Alibaba shares – almost 8%1 since last week. The stock thus continues the bullish trend that we last saw in September last year.* I immediately started to find out what was behind it, and I came across an interesting piece of news. Apple is reportedly working with Alibaba to develop AI features for iPhones in China. This news immediately caught my attention, so I started looking for ways to benefit from it.

Date: 5.2.2025
AMD Slips After Earnings Report

For us investors following the semiconductor sector, today was very significant. AMD announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2024, beating expectations in terms of both sales and profit. Nevertheless, the shares fell by more than 9% after the end of regular trading hours.* This decline subsequently raised questions that I also dealt with. Is this an overreaction of the market, or is it a legitimate warning sign?

Date: 29.1.2025
ASML Exceeds Expectations: A Buying Opportunity?

Today's trading day was very interesting for me as I focused on the results of ASML, a leading player in chip manufacturing equipment, which published its results for the fourth quarter. ASML reported orders worth €7.09 billion, well above expectations. This order intake is a significant indicator that the demand for advanced equipment, driven by the growth of the AI field, remains strong.

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