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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Directing the growth trajectory of Inspire Medical Systems

Date: 8.5.2024

As I follow the healthcare sector closely, I noted an interesting development in the first quarter of 2024, when Inspire Medical Systems (NYSE: INSP) reported a significant 28% increase in revenue, which reached $164 million. This sharp increase, fuelled primarily by strong U.S. sales and an expanding international footprint, has significantly impacted my view of the company's growth potential. The 141% jump in international sales to US$8.2 million underlines the successful strategy of expanding beyond the domestic market. *

Assessment of financial health and future projections

 

Although the company reported a net loss of $10 million for the quarter, the improvement from last year’s loss of $15.4 million is a positive indicator of financial recovery and cost management efficiency.* The increased full-year revenue guidance of $783 million to $793 million reflects management's confidence in continued strong sales performance.[1] In addition, the expectation of achieving profitability during the year offers a promising outlook for positive cash flow, which is a critical factor in my long-term investment strategy.

 

Strategic initiatives and product innovation

 

The upcoming launch of the Inspire V system, which is pending FDA approval, represents a strategic expansion of Inspire's product line and a potential new source of revenue. My confidence in the Company's innovative trajectory is further strengthened by this development, which is consistent with the growing awareness and diagnosis rates for obstructive sleep apnea.

 

Investment considerations and risks

 

Although the company's focus on digital advertising rather than traditional direct-to-consumer methods could optimise marketing spend, the cessation of reporting on new account openings from 2025 warrants a cautious approach. This change in reporting could affect the transparency of growth metrics, which are essential for assessing the effectiveness of a company's expansion. In addition, the potential delay in updating the healthcare coverage policy could pose a risk to projected profitability timelines.

 

Conclusion

 

Overall, my current assessment leads me to maintain a bullish stance on Inspire Medical Systems due to its strong growth metrics and strategic product progress. However, I remain vigilant regarding operational and regulatory issues that could impact the company's trajectory. The balance between growth potential and the associated risks will be critical in deciding whether to adjust my investment position as further developments unfold in 2024.

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Date: 13.11.2024
Shopify's Growth Signals the Strength of Its Transformative Strategy

Today, I followed the market with a particular interest in Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a company that has become synonymous with e-commerce over the years. Looking at their latest financial results and strategic moves, it's clear that their transformation into a platform for larger businesses is bearing fruit.

Date: 6.11.2024
Nvidia Overtakes Apple as the World’s Largest Company: The AI Boom in Full Swing

Today, I find myself reflecting on Nvidia Corp.’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) meteoric rise to become the largest company in the world, surpassing none other than Apple Inc. Nvidia’s stock rose 2.9%[1] to $139.93, pushing its market cap to an astonishing $3.43 trillion, overtaking Apple’s $3.38 trillion valuation.* To put this into perspective, Microsoft, which Nvidia already surpassed last month, holds a valuation of $3.06 trillion. What stands out to me is how artificial intelligence has fundamentally reshaped Wall Street’s landscape, with Nvidia emerging as the clearest beneficiary of the AI revolution.

Date: 30.10.2024
OpenAI and Broadcom’s Strategic AI Chip Development

Today, I've been closely following the news about OpenAI's plans to collaborate with Broadcom Inc. on its own AI chip, designed specifically for inference – the process of running AI models after they've been trained. This potential game-changer is attracting the attention of the tech world, as OpenAI seeks to develop a solution focused on responding to user requests rather than traditional training dominated by Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs).

Date: 23.10.2024
Texas Instruments in the Third Quarter of 2024 – Hope for Recovery?

As part of this week, I analyzed the third-quarter results of Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN), which provide an interesting insight into future developments in the semiconductor sector. Even though the company announced the eighth consecutive decline in sales, the tone of the outlook is in an optimistic spirit, which signals the potential for a recovery in demand soon.

Date: 16.10.2024
Apple Breaks New Ground with AI Optimism

Today marked yet another milestone in my investment journey with Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) The stock soared to a record high of $237.49, extending its remarkable run over the past several months.* This upward momentum is largely fueled by optimism surrounding Apple's recent launch of AI-powered iPhones, which have quickly caught the market's attention.

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