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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Microsoft at a Crossroads: Innovative AI Growth vs. High Costs

Date: 31.1.2024

Today was a big day for me in the stock market, especially because of the news from Microsoft. As a long-term investor in the technology sector, I view Microsoft as a key player that can significantly influence the direction of the market. Finding out that the company beat market estimates in quarterly earnings and revenue, thanks to new AI features, is proof to me that investing in innovation is paying off. However, with the rising cost of developing AI features, there are also some concerns.

AI Initiative and the Impact on the Stock

 

Microsoft has invested heavily in AI over the past year, partnering with OpenAI to create Chatbots that it has integrated into its flagship products. However, this has increased the company's operating costs, which may be why its shares fell 1% after the market closed. * This decline highlights how sensitive the market is to any news of cost increases, even when they are linked to innovations that can deliver future growth.

Obrázok1

The stock performance of Microsoft Corp. over 5 years. Source: tradingview.com

 

Market Environment Analysis

 

Even though the AI-industry has suffered a $190 billion loss in market capitalization, Microsoft appears to be on track to leverage AI to fuel its growth. The company has started selling AI assistant Copilot, which can boost the company's commercial revenue, and the 17% revenue growth in the commercial part of Office software is also encouraging.

 

Personal Outlook and Strategies

 

The situation at Microsoft leads me to think about the long-term outlook of my investment strategy. While short-term stock declines may be worrisome, we need to consider the potential of AI and its impact on the company's future products and services. It's important to watch how Microsoft handles increased costs and whether it will be able to sustain growth in areas like Azure and Office.

 

Conclusion

 

Today's information on Microsoft is a double-edged sword for me as an investor. On the one hand, there is the significant investment in AI and the potential benefits from that, but on the other hand, there is the risk associated with rising costs and their impact on the company's overall financial stability. It will be key to see how Microsoft adapts to these challenges and how this affects its long-term growth and market position. For me as an investor, this means that I need to be prepared to react flexibly as the situation evolves and adapt my strategy as new information emerges. [1]

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or on the current economic environment, which may change. Such statements are not guarantees of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements.

Date: 6.11.2024
Nvidia Overtakes Apple as the World’s Largest Company: The AI Boom in Full Swing

Today, I find myself reflecting on Nvidia Corp.’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) meteoric rise to become the largest company in the world, surpassing none other than Apple Inc. Nvidia’s stock rose 2.9%[1] to $139.93, pushing its market cap to an astonishing $3.43 trillion, overtaking Apple’s $3.38 trillion valuation.* To put this into perspective, Microsoft, which Nvidia already surpassed last month, holds a valuation of $3.06 trillion. What stands out to me is how artificial intelligence has fundamentally reshaped Wall Street’s landscape, with Nvidia emerging as the clearest beneficiary of the AI revolution.

Date: 30.10.2024
OpenAI and Broadcom’s Strategic AI Chip Development

Today, I've been closely following the news about OpenAI's plans to collaborate with Broadcom Inc. on its own AI chip, designed specifically for inference – the process of running AI models after they've been trained. This potential game-changer is attracting the attention of the tech world, as OpenAI seeks to develop a solution focused on responding to user requests rather than traditional training dominated by Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs).

Date: 23.10.2024
Texas Instruments in the Third Quarter of 2024 – Hope for Recovery?

As part of this week, I analyzed the third-quarter results of Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN), which provide an interesting insight into future developments in the semiconductor sector. Even though the company announced the eighth consecutive decline in sales, the tone of the outlook is in an optimistic spirit, which signals the potential for a recovery in demand soon.

Date: 16.10.2024
Apple Breaks New Ground with AI Optimism

Today marked yet another milestone in my investment journey with Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) The stock soared to a record high of $237.49, extending its remarkable run over the past several months.* This upward momentum is largely fueled by optimism surrounding Apple's recent launch of AI-powered iPhones, which have quickly caught the market's attention.

Date: 9.10.2024
Google's Interest in Nuclear Power Underscores the Growing Importance of Sustainable Sources

Recently, I thought again about the future of energy sources that will power the technology sector. The news that Google is seriously considering nuclear energy as a possible source of energy for its data centers intrigued me and further confirmed that we are on the threshold of major changes in the field of energy. Amanda Peterson Corio, who heads the global energy strategy for data centers at Google, openly admitted that in the US and other countries such as Japan, nuclear power can be one of the solutions to ensure a stable and low-carbon source of energy.

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