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Moderna vs. Pfizer

Date: 10.3.2023

The internet is full of news about scientists revived the virus that is more than 40.000 years old. I did not really like the news, as I can still remember what the last pandemic of Covid left behind. And then it hit my mind. Yes, there was a bad situation of economies and health, however, after the correction, the markets were in green. Many of companies even hit the record-breaking revenues and prices of stocks. It didn’t take much logic and thinking to figure out that pharmaceutical companies were for sure one of the winners of Covid. I decided to make a comparison between Moderna and Pfizer, both two of the biggest pharma companies in the world.

I opened the site called Finviz, where I always find useful news about the companies that are listed on US stock exchanges. First, I decided to check Pfizer. I read, that the company is ready to launch its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine for older adults and pregnant women later this year. Amazing news. Next great news is that they decided to shift the revenue focus away from covid vaccines. As far as I found out, they are currently in talks to buy a biotech company Seagen for more than 30 billion USD. It was also written that last year Merck was a candidate to buy it for 40 billion USD, however they had a change of mind in the end. But they are interesting company because they are advancing on cancer therapy. Which brings me to another company on my check list, Moderna.

Amazing company I thought to myself. They are showing progress in vaccines against breast cancer. And what is even better, they already launched/got green light for clinical trials of mRNA HIV vaccine. If they manage to figure out a treatment for HIV, that will be a huge step for humanity as well as for them. Despite both Moderna and Pfizer reported a revenue fall because of lesser demand for Covid vaccines, they both have plan for the future. As they are tied based on fundamental analysis, I moved to the charts.

I immediately saw that Pfizer’s stocks are rather volatile. Constant rising and falling. But the range of the movement of the price was nothing exceptional. In December for example, the price was around 60 USD per share, while the current price is 39.34 USD. On the other hand, Moderna is not that volatile but has been in the down and side trend for more than a month now. Before the correction, the price of a stock was around 467 USD, while the current price is 137.19 USD.* The chart is also on very big support line.

Based on all gathered information, I decided to rather invest into Moderna. It can bring me higher returns (if it will return to that 476 price mark). Nevertheless, I will still keep an eye on Pfizer and enter the trade if some positive things regarding company might come out.


* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Link to a 5 year chart: https://www.investing.com/equities/moderna

Date: 24.3.2023
S&P 500 under pressure

News lately are more or less spinning around the problems of the banks and volatility of currencies or inflation. The saga of banks collapsing is still reaping fear in investors. And accordingly, central banks of multiple countries are taking actions. US Fed, ECB and Bank of England decided to raise the interest rates again. ECB announced that it could raise again in May, while US seems it will leave it at this point if circumstances will not dictate otherwise. Fear of investors is always leaving negative impact on the market, and so did this time. I am talking about S&P 500, American index that is tracking 500 American companies. However, it is not the only index suffering at the moment.

Date: 22.3.2023
ChatGPT got a competition

Curiosity got better part of me, as probably is the same with many other people, and I went to try what ChatGPT can offer me. I had to admit that I was very surprised. It is something completely new and innovative. It basically knows answer to almost everything (happening before 2021) and can help you in many ways. However, I saw some discomfort of users, when they found out that Microsoft decided to charge a subscription for it. But hey, on the other hand, they need to get the investment back in some way. And to make things even worse, ChatGPT got a competition – Bard, AI of Google.

Date: 20.3.2023
The fall of Turkish lira

Among the news about the collapse of Credit Suisse, and how UBS agreed to buy them for a little over 3 billion USD, there was another interesting news that caught my attention – Turkish lira is rapidly falling and is on the record low against American dollar.  Lira has always been very volatile, compared to other currencies, but this was something else rather than normal volatility. I decided to dig in and check what is the cause.

Date: 17.3.2023
ECB raised interest rates

Almost any news site that I opened, was reporting about the ECB’s decision yesterday to raise the interest rates for 0,5 point. And almost every article was guessing, what this could mean amidst the bank crisis around the world. In other articles there were news about the fall of Credit Suisse. I decided to make here a summary of things that I found out, to easier decide about the trade later.

Date: 15.3.2023
Chicken problem around the world

I quickly jumped to the store in the morning to buy eggs for breakfast, and I was negatively surprised about their price. I understand that inflation and everything could push the price up, but 80% and more for the eggs compared to when I bought few months ago is a little too much. I decided to investigate the matter immediately.

Risk warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72.97% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.