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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

Jun
2025
Definition of terms:
Earnings
IPOs
Splits
Week 26

Germany is facing the largest strike in decades

Date: 27.3.2023

When I woke up in the morning, I hoped I will wake up to some good news. But there was breaking news that Germany is facing the largest strike in decades and that country is in standstill. Not so good news, however, there is no such thing as bad news for the market. Me as a trader, I always need to find opportunities, even if the news are bad. And that’s the best, as I can choose between long and short positions.

Article on Reuters wrote that millions of commuters in Germany were impacted today as airports, bus and train stations across the country came to a standstill in one of the largest walkouts in decades. The strikes, which were called by the Verdi trade union and railway and transport union EVG, lasted for 24 hours and were the latest in a series of industrial actions that have hit major European economies. Higher food and energy prices have caused living standards to drop, prompting workers to press for higher wages to counter the effects of inflation, which reached 9.3% in February. That percentage is anything else but nice, as I could also feel higher inflation when I went grocery shopping or used some service. Germany, which was heavily dependent on Russia for gas before the conflict in Ukraine, has been particularly affected by rising prices as it searched for new energy sources, leading to inflation rates that have exceeded the eurozone average in recent months. Frankfurt and Munich airports suspended flights, and Deutsche Bahn cancelled long-distance rail services. Striking workers, wearing high-visibility jackets, blew horns and whistles through an empty Munich train station. Bad news for Germany for sure, and probably for the whole Eurozone, since they are the biggest and strongest economy on that continent. The idea popped up, that for sure EURUSD forex pair was affected by this.

I opened the chart on Zetano platform, and it was no surprise that there has been correction – value or euro fell in comparison with US dollar.The fall was not that bad as it seems on the first glance, because it dropped for a little less than 2%. On Thursday, the exchange rate was 1 EUR for 1,0927 USD, while current exchange rate is 1,0770.* Quickly after the drop, this pair found support level and overturned the trend. It seems, that again the pair is forming a sort of a channel, the same way as it did before the drop. It is hard to say if only the news about protests caused the fall, or it was in mix with the news that ECB might not raise interest rates for some time now or at least slower them. In positive hopes that euro will keep getting stronger compared to USD I decided to open a position on long.

Picture1

*

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Link to a 5-year chart: https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd

Date: 26.2.2025
Super Micro Averts the Threat of Delisting and Rises Sharply

After analyzing the quarterly results of Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), I noticed a sharp increase in the price of their shares. In extended trading, they rose by about 22% after the company filed its late financial statements on time to meet the Nasdaq exchange's requirements to remain in the index. The move removed the threat of delisting that hung over the firm due to financial reporting issues and the loss of an auditor in 2023. At the same time, Super Micro announced that the new BDO auditor confirmed the compliance of the results with GAAP accounting principles, which managed to stabilize the situation. What awaits us next?

Date: 19.2.2025
Intel and Speculation About a Possible Company Split

Today, I noticed that Intel's stock has risen by nearly 50% from its February low, clearly indicating that the price is reacting to ongoing speculation about a potential company split.* Intel has been struggling with the loss of its technological edge and market share, with its performance lagging behind competitors like Nvidia, which dominates the AI chip segment. Ongoing negotiations between TSMC, Broadcom, and the Silver Lake investment group suggest that Intel's leadership is actively exploring ways to regain its market position and restore investor confidence.

Date: 12.2.2025
Alibaba and Apple Forge AI Partnership in China

This morning, I noticed a sharp increase in Alibaba shares – almost 8%1 since last week. The stock thus continues the bullish trend that we last saw in September last year.* I immediately started to find out what was behind it, and I came across an interesting piece of news. Apple is reportedly working with Alibaba to develop AI features for iPhones in China. This news immediately caught my attention, so I started looking for ways to benefit from it.

Date: 5.2.2025
AMD Slips After Earnings Report

For us investors following the semiconductor sector, today was very significant. AMD announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2024, beating expectations in terms of both sales and profit. Nevertheless, the shares fell by more than 9% after the end of regular trading hours.* This decline subsequently raised questions that I also dealt with. Is this an overreaction of the market, or is it a legitimate warning sign?

Date: 29.1.2025
ASML Exceeds Expectations: A Buying Opportunity?

Today's trading day was very interesting for me as I focused on the results of ASML, a leading player in chip manufacturing equipment, which published its results for the fourth quarter. ASML reported orders worth €7.09 billion, well above expectations. This order intake is a significant indicator that the demand for advanced equipment, driven by the growth of the AI field, remains strong.

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