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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Starbucks Shares Soar after CEO Appointment, While Chipotle Faces Uncertainty*

Date: 14.8.2024

Today has been an eventful day in the market, especially for those like me who closely follow Starbucks Corp. and Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. The news of the hiring of Brian Niccol, the highly regarded CEO, caused a significant reaction in the market, prompting me to reconsider my position at Starbucks.

Starbucks' record growth

 

Starbucks shares surged 25%[1], the largest one-day increase in the company's history.* This impressive rally increased Starbucks' market capitalization by a whopping $21.4 billion.* Investors also seem to be overwhelmingly optimistic about the future of the coffee chain under Niccolo's leadership, as confirmed by several analysts. On the other hand, Chipotle's stock experienced a significant drop, falling 7.5%[2], which equated to a loss in market value of $5.7 billion.* The market reaction suggests that Chipotle shareholders are concerned about the uncertainty that Niccolo's departure brings. For now, however, Chipotle's stock price remains in a bullish trend over the long term.

 

Analysts praise Starbucks' bold move

 

Several analysts praised Starbucks' decision to bring Niccolo into its ranks, with Bloomberg Intelligence's Michael Halen calling the move "no brainer" and Oppenheimer's Brian Bittner calling Niccolo a "dream hire" for the company. It's easy to see why - under Niccolo's leadership, Chipotle stock is up 773% since he took the helm in March 2018. By contrast, Starbucks stock is up just 35% over the same period, while the S&P 500 index is up 99%[3].* Clearly, Niccol's results say it all.

 

A new era for Starbucks

 

The enthusiasm accompanying this change in leadership is palpable. TD Cowen analyst Andrew Charles even upgraded Starbucks from a "hold" to a "buy" rating, saying that Niccol's appointment heralds a new era for the company. Charles pointed to parallels between the successful turnaround at Chipotle and what Starbucks needs to accomplish, particularly in areas such as marketing, product innovation and operational improvements. [1]

 

Opportunities and challenges ahead

 

As someone who follows these companies closely, I can't disagree with Bernstein's Danilo Gargiulo, who noted that sometimes it's challenging to find the perfect time to invest in a stock, but that this may be one of those rare opportunities for Starbucks. If Niccol can bring the same level of discipline and strategic vision to Starbucks as he did to Chipotle, the coffee giant could be on the cusp of a major transformation. [2]

 

In conclusion, today's developments underscore the importance of strong leadership in driving shareholder value. While Starbucks appears poised for a revitalized future, Chipotle's path is less certain. As always, I'll be watching closely to see how these stories develop in the weeks ahead.

 

 

 

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results

 

[1], [2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

[1] The development of Starbucks Corp's shares over the last five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/sbux:us

[2] The development of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.'s shares over the last five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/cmg:us

[3] The price development of the S&P 500 index over the last five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/spx:ind

Date: 9.10.2024
Google's Interest in Nuclear Power Underscores the Growing Importance of Sustainable Sources

Recently, I thought again about the future of energy sources that will power the technology sector. The news that Google is seriously considering nuclear energy as a possible source of energy for its data centers intrigued me and further confirmed that we are on the threshold of major changes in the field of energy. Amanda Peterson Corio, who heads the global energy strategy for data centers at Google, openly admitted that in the US and other countries such as Japan, nuclear power can be one of the solutions to ensure a stable and low-carbon source of energy.

Date: 2.10.2024
Global Tech Giants Expand to Southeast Asia

Today, my attention was drawn to new investments in cloud services and artificial intelligence in Southeast Asia, where the growing interest of global tech giants in this rapidly developing area is showing. Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL), one of the leaders in cloud services, announced a $6.5 billion investment to build a cloud center in Malaysia. This move is not unique, as Oracle is looking to expand its cloud infrastructure around the world and gain a foothold in the AI (artificial intelligence) market.

Date: 25.9.2024
Chinese Market Recovery and New Investment Opportunities

Today, I focused closely on developments in the Chinese stock market, which has seen a strong recovery in recent days. Major indices such as the CSI 300 and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index are showing significant gains, suggesting that the Chinese government's new stimulus measures are starting to bear the desired fruit.

Date: 18.9.2024
Intel Strengthens Position with New Contracts and Government Support

Today, I took a closer look at Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC), which is taking promising steps toward restoring its technological dominance and financial stability. After the recent announcement of a new contract with Amazon Web Services (AWS), which should bring huge opportunities in the field of chip production for artificial intelligence (AI), Intel shares have moved up 7%.[1]* I was intrigued by this development because it is a significant step for a company that has struggled with a decline in market share and technological lag compared to competitors in recent years.

Date: 11.9.2024
TSMC on the Rise: What Does the Latest Growth Mean for Investors?

Today I'm focusing on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE: TSM), which posted remarkable revenue growth for the month of August, which sends a positive signal to the market as well and supports my confidence in a rebound in smartphone demand and steadily growing interest in Nvidia Corp.'s artificial intelligence chips.

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