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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Hugo Boss is going strong

Date: 2.8.2023

Nowadays, luxury brands are much more accessible as they were few years ago, at least from my point of view. Anyone can afford at least some products from Guess, Hugo Boss, Armani and so on. And that could be the reason that mentioned companies are on the rise. Just for example, Louis Vuitton broke their stocks price record and became one of the most expensive luxury brands. *

Picture1

Movement of Louis Vuitton’s stocks in the last five years. (Source: Investing) *

However, today when I was scrolling news on Reuters, I found an article about Hugo Boss going strong. I didn’t think twice before I decided to check what it is about.

Mentioned article on Reuters said that Hugo Boss has raised its sales and profit projections after experiencing a 20% surge in second-quarter revenues, driven by successful brand revitalization and marketing efforts that helped the German fashion house overcome sluggish demand in the U.S. and China. Despite slower-than-expected recovery in China, Hugo Boss achieved a remarkable 56% increase in currency-adjusted sales in the region. While luxury goods companies faced concerns over China's post-pandemic rebound, Hugo Boss managed to perform well, especially in the EMEA and Americas regions, benefitting from a rise in tourism.

Very good news for them. Managing to sell more than projected, despite the major setbacks of different factors is a great achievement. But the news did not end there. The company opened 17 new Boss stores, with a focus on six in Asia, and expressed plans to launch its first larger store in Guangzhou in the fourth quarter. While the market expected a guidance increase, higher working capital might be viewed sceptically given the retailer's inventory challenges. Hugo Boss aims to gradually normalize its inventories in the second half and bring down stocks to less than 20% of group sales by 2025.[1]

Since I was very impressed by the fundamental analysis, I was not as impressed by the technical part. Company’s stocks have suffered a correction in the past five years, which started with the beginning of Covid, so it makes sense. After that, however, stocks have managed to climb back on even higher point than the pre-pandemic price – to the current price of 72,42€.* The highest point of their price was in 2015, when the price was 110€ per stock *, which means that if company will continue with delivering good news, I am expecting them to eventually reach that price again, or even break it.[2] But, as with all things, I will have to be patient and follow the movement of their stocks.

Picture2

Movement of Hugo Boss’s stocks in the last five years. (Source: Investing) *

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1,2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Date: 20.11.2024
Qualcomm Expands Horizons Beyond Smartphones: I'm Buying This Promising Player at a Low Price

Today I took the time to analyze Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) in detail, which seems to be on a very interesting development trajectory. As the world's largest seller of smartphone processors, the company recognizes the need to diversify its business and find new sources of growth, which leads me as an investor to think more deeply about its future potential.

Date: 13.11.2024
Shopify's Growth Signals the Strength of Its Transformative Strategy

Today, I followed the market with a particular interest in Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a company that has become synonymous with e-commerce over the years. Looking at their latest financial results and strategic moves, it's clear that their transformation into a platform for larger businesses is bearing fruit.

Date: 6.11.2024
Nvidia Overtakes Apple as the World’s Largest Company: The AI Boom in Full Swing

Today, I find myself reflecting on Nvidia Corp.’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) meteoric rise to become the largest company in the world, surpassing none other than Apple Inc. Nvidia’s stock rose 2.9%[1] to $139.93, pushing its market cap to an astonishing $3.43 trillion, overtaking Apple’s $3.38 trillion valuation.* To put this into perspective, Microsoft, which Nvidia already surpassed last month, holds a valuation of $3.06 trillion. What stands out to me is how artificial intelligence has fundamentally reshaped Wall Street’s landscape, with Nvidia emerging as the clearest beneficiary of the AI revolution.

Date: 30.10.2024
OpenAI and Broadcom’s Strategic AI Chip Development

Today, I've been closely following the news about OpenAI's plans to collaborate with Broadcom Inc. on its own AI chip, designed specifically for inference – the process of running AI models after they've been trained. This potential game-changer is attracting the attention of the tech world, as OpenAI seeks to develop a solution focused on responding to user requests rather than traditional training dominated by Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs).

Date: 23.10.2024
Texas Instruments in the Third Quarter of 2024 – Hope for Recovery?

As part of this week, I analyzed the third-quarter results of Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN), which provide an interesting insight into future developments in the semiconductor sector. Even though the company announced the eighth consecutive decline in sales, the tone of the outlook is in an optimistic spirit, which signals the potential for a recovery in demand soon.

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