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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Interest rates in Great Britain and USA

Date: 8.3.2023

At my morning chart checks, one specific drop caught my interest – a drop in the value of GBPUSD. It was quite remarkable or unusual drop, so I thought to myself that something big had to happen. * Quick search on Investing provided me with necessary information. Yesterday’s press conference in US signalled, that they will have to raise interest rates more often than predicted, at least according to the Fed Chair Jerome Powell. And when this man says something, there will for sure be volatility on the markets. And it was just like that. But concerning this particular forex pair, there were also news from the UK, which showed that investors believe that interest rates will be higher for “only” 0,25 percentage point, and not 0,50 as it was first thought. However, for the actual increase, I will have to wait until 23rd of March, for when the hike in UK is scheduled.

I moved back to the chart, and I couldn’t get past this drop. And interestingly, it stopped in one of the support levels, that bounced the price back also in the beginning of January. But when I moved around with the cursor, the drop was not that explicit as it first seemed, as it was 2,09%. It fell from the point of 1,20625 to the current price at 1,18342. And this is exactly the price where Decembers/Januarys drops stopped and returned. Because the price looks like it can’t decide if it wants to continue with the fall, or it wants to go back up, I thought to myself that it would be smart idea to approach the trade with care. * And of course, I need more information regarding the currencies to make an easier decision.

I continued with the reading of article I have found. The interest rate hike in the UK is still not confirmed, while Jerome Powell made a signal that US will highly likely decide to do so. In theory, or in past it has shown that when given country decided to raise the rates, the value of its currency strengthened. * For me as a person, or daily spender, that is good. But for me as an investor, not so much. Or depends on what I want to invest into.

As everything was very confusing and unclear, I checked the economic calendar for today, as well as what technical indicators on investing say. As for economic events today, USA will release the non-farm employment change data, as well as Powell will testify again. Again, the volatility. But I am expecting positive news. Long term, the indicators say sell, while for very short term (5 minutes chart), indicators say long. And I am here for longer term, so I decided to open a position on short, in expectance of positive news from the US. [1]

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*

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Link to 5 year chart: https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd

Date: 17.4.2024
Positive Perspectives from LVMH's Latest Quarterly Earnings

Today, after reviewing LVMH's first quarter earnings report, I was reassured about its investment strategy, particularly in the luxury goods sector. Despite the global, economic slowdown that has clearly affected the luxury goods market, LVMH - home to prestigious brands such as Louis Vuitton and Dior - has demonstrated its resilience and ability to adapt to changing market dynamics. This is key for me as an investor seeking stability in these turbulent times.

Date: 10.4.2024
Microsoft and NetEase Ink Game-Changing Deal

As an investor deeply entrenched in the tech and gaming sectors, the recent news of Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ: MSFT) Blizzard Entertainment renewing its partnership with China's NetEase Inc (NASDAQ: NTES) has sparked a notable upturn in my investment outlook.

Date: 3.4.2024
TSMC and the aftermath of the earthquake in Taiwan

The current seismic events in Taiwan have cast a shadow over my portfolio, especially with regard to my stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (TSM). A devastating magnitude 7.5 earthquake, the strongest since 1999, struck the island country early Wednesday morning, leading to widespread power outages, property damage and disruption of subway services in major cities including Taipei.

Date: 27.3.2024
Anticipating Apple's AI Revolution

With the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) just around the corner, my attention is sharply focused on what could be a landmark event for Apple and the tech industry at large. Scheduled from June 10 to June 14, this year's WWDC promises to unveil advancements across Apple's entire product line-up, including iOS, macOS, watchOS, and the intriguing introduction of visionOS. However, the buzz around potential artificial intelligence (AI) integrations has particularly piqued my interest, signalling a possible strategic pivot for Apple in a domain that's increasingly dominating tech conversations.

Date: 20.3.2024
Anticipation of the Fed's decision on interest rates

For an investor who is intensely interested in developments in the US stock market, the weeks leading up to today's Federal Reserve meeting have been particularly interesting. Compared to last month, March has so far shown a slowdown in the performance of stock indices such as the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ 100. This entry reflects my thoughts and strategic considerations during this crucial period.

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