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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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Shopify's Growth Signals the Strength of Its Transformative Strategy

Date: 13.11.2024

Today, I followed the market with a particular interest in Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a company that has become synonymous with e-commerce over the years. Looking at their latest financial results and strategic moves, it's clear that their transformation into a platform for larger businesses is bearing fruit.

Strong growth

Shopify just announced that it expects strong revenue growth into the upcoming holiday season as well. Specifically, it forecasts year-on-year revenue growth at the level of the middle to upper twenty percent, which is a positive signal, as analysts estimated growth of around 23%.[1] These numbers suggest that Shopify is not only exceeding expectations but can maintain momentum even during periods of high demand, when the strength of its platform can be shown.

New strategy with large clients

The company added 16 new enterprise clients in the third quarter. I was interested in this information because it confirms the effectiveness of their new strategic direction. This is because Shopify is shifting from its traditional clientele of small businesses and freelancers towards larger companies with higher order volumes. According to the company's president, Harley Finkelstein, the new revenue was supported not only by growing interest in in-store payment solutions, but also by expansion in European markets and in the business-to-business (B2B) segment.

"Shopify isn't just for small businesses in North America. We are here for all brand sizes around the world," said Finkelstein. This statement reassures me that Shopify is serious about its global strategy and is not afraid to compete with established players in the market.

Record sales and growth in share prices

Proof of their success is a 26% increase in third-quarter revenue, reaching $2.16 billion, beating analysts' expectations of $2.12 billion. It's another reason why I've seen Shopify's stock soar on the stock exchange today – its price has risen by as much as 26% to reach $23.* This movement was their largest intraday increase in more than a year and at the same time the highest price in almost three years. Thus, Shopify sent a strong signal to the market and attracted the attention of investors.

Moving away from logistics to expanding your clientele

It is clear that the company has undergone a significant change in strategy. It has left plans to build its own logistics center, which would allow it to grow by providing broader services to its current customers. I consider this shift to be correct. Without a logistics infrastructure, Shopify needs to look for new customers, and large companies are ideal for this purpose – their orders generate larger volumes and can thus be an engine for further growth.

I also positively evaluate the gross merchandise volume (GMV) data, which is the total value of sales made through Shopify. In the third quarter, this volume reached $69.7 billion, beating Wall Street's projections of $67.8 billion. Such a result tells me that Shopify is gaining a strong position and can be really competitive even in a market where a rival like Amazon is a strong presence.

Conclusion and further potential

In conclusion, I wonder if Shopify could become an even more interesting investment. Strong growth, new income from larger companies and good results in expanding into global markets suggest to me that their shares could continue to be attractive. While the current price already reflects strong growth, I see the possibility of further appreciation in the long term, especially if Shopify can continue to effectively acquire new, large clients and consolidate its position outside of North America.[2]

Shopify proved today that its transformation makes sense, and I'll be watching with excitement as that journey evolves further.

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1,2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Date: 18.12.2024
Broadcom and Its "Nvidia Moment"

Broadcom Inc.’s (NASDAQ: AVGO) recent surge in the stock market feels like a déjà vu of Nvidia’s breakout in 2023. After posting impressive quarterly results, Broadcom shares skyrocketed 38% in just two days, pushing the company’s market cap close to $1.2 trillion.* The excitement stems from Broadcom’s projection of a $90 billion addressable market for its AI-focused components by fiscal 2027. Investors are asking: could this be the next big player in the AI revolution?

Date: 11.12.2024
TSMC Continues to Lead with Robust AI Demand

As I review my portfolio this month, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) remains a shining star, showcasing exceptional performance driven by surging demand for artificial intelligence (AI) hardware. In November alone, TSMC reported a remarkable 34% increase in sales, reaching NT$276.1 billion ($8.5 billion). These results highlight the company’s critical role as a supplier to major tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, as well as its pivotal position in the AI-driven transformation of data centers.

Date: 4.12.2024
Amazon Strengthens Its Position in Artificial Intelligence

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) was the focus of my investing interest today when it announced significant moves to strengthen its position in artificial intelligence (AI). At its annual re:Invent conference, the company unveiled groundbreaking innovations, including new semiconductors and a large language model, which could significantly impact the generative AI market. These developments present several key considerations for traders and investors alike.

Date: 27.11.2024
Uneven Recovery in the Global Smartphone Market

This year, I’ve been closely watching the global smartphone market, which has finally rebounded after two years of decline. The numbers are encouraging, with a 6.2% growth and total shipments reaching an estimated 1.24 billion units. However, as I delve deeper, I see a more nuanced picture. Apple, despite its dominance, managed only a modest 0.4% increase in iPhone volumes, signaling the intense competition from Android-based manufacturers, especially in China and emerging markets.

Date: 20.11.2024
Qualcomm Expands Horizons Beyond Smartphones: I'm Buying This Promising Player at a Low Price

Today I took the time to analyze Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) in detail, which seems to be on a very interesting development trajectory. As the world's largest seller of smartphone processors, the company recognizes the need to diversify its business and find new sources of growth, which leads me as an investor to think more deeply about its future potential.

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