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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

Jun
2025
Definície pojmov:
Earnings
IPOs
Splits
Week 24

Shopify's Growth Signals the Strength of Its Transformative Strategy

Date: 13.11.2024

Today, I followed the market with a particular interest in Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a company that has become synonymous with e-commerce over the years. Looking at their latest financial results and strategic moves, it's clear that their transformation into a platform for larger businesses is bearing fruit.

Strong growth

Shopify just announced that it expects strong revenue growth into the upcoming holiday season as well. Specifically, it forecasts year-on-year revenue growth at the level of the middle to upper twenty percent, which is a positive signal, as analysts estimated growth of around 23%.[1] These numbers suggest that Shopify is not only exceeding expectations but can maintain momentum even during periods of high demand, when the strength of its platform can be shown.

New strategy with large clients

The company added 16 new enterprise clients in the third quarter. I was interested in this information because it confirms the effectiveness of their new strategic direction. This is because Shopify is shifting from its traditional clientele of small businesses and freelancers towards larger companies with higher order volumes. According to the company's president, Harley Finkelstein, the new revenue was supported not only by growing interest in in-store payment solutions, but also by expansion in European markets and in the business-to-business (B2B) segment.

"Shopify isn't just for small businesses in North America. We are here for all brand sizes around the world," said Finkelstein. This statement reassures me that Shopify is serious about its global strategy and is not afraid to compete with established players in the market.

Record sales and growth in share prices

Proof of their success is a 26% increase in third-quarter revenue, reaching $2.16 billion, beating analysts' expectations of $2.12 billion. It's another reason why I've seen Shopify's stock soar on the stock exchange today – its price has risen by as much as 26% to reach $23.* This movement was their largest intraday increase in more than a year and at the same time the highest price in almost three years. Thus, Shopify sent a strong signal to the market and attracted the attention of investors.

Moving away from logistics to expanding your clientele

It is clear that the company has undergone a significant change in strategy. It has left plans to build its own logistics center, which would allow it to grow by providing broader services to its current customers. I consider this shift to be correct. Without a logistics infrastructure, Shopify needs to look for new customers, and large companies are ideal for this purpose – their orders generate larger volumes and can thus be an engine for further growth.

I also positively evaluate the gross merchandise volume (GMV) data, which is the total value of sales made through Shopify. In the third quarter, this volume reached $69.7 billion, beating Wall Street's projections of $67.8 billion. Such a result tells me that Shopify is gaining a strong position and can be really competitive even in a market where a rival like Amazon is a strong presence.

Conclusion and further potential

In conclusion, I wonder if Shopify could become an even more interesting investment. Strong growth, new income from larger companies and good results in expanding into global markets suggest to me that their shares could continue to be attractive. While the current price already reflects strong growth, I see the possibility of further appreciation in the long term, especially if Shopify can continue to effectively acquire new, large clients and consolidate its position outside of North America.[2]

Shopify proved today that its transformation makes sense, and I'll be watching with excitement as that journey evolves further.

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1,2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

Date: 3.7.2024
Dodávky vozidiel Tesla klesli, avšak prekonali očakávania

Keď sa zamyslím nad nedávnymi výsledkami spoločnosti Tesla za druhý štvrťrok, je zrejmé, že priekopník v oblasti elektrických vozidiel (EV) sa naďalej dokáže pohybovať v prostredí tvrdej konkurencie a klesajúceho dopytu. Napriek poklesu dodávok dokázala prekonať očakávania trhu, čo jej zabezpečilo nárast hodnoty akcií o 10% a dostali sa takmer na 6-mesačné maximum.*

Date: 6.9.2023
Moderna aktualizovala svoju vakcínu proti COVID

Napriek tomu, že vírus Covid takmer upadol do úplného zabudnutia, v mnohých krajinách Európy sa znovu objavil. Takže aj keď sme si mysleli, že je to všetko konečne za nami, smutnou realitou je, že vírus je stále medzi nami. Rozhodol som sa preveriť farmaceutické spoločnosti, ktoré vyrábajú vakcíny proti Covid-u, a zistiť, či majú nejaké novinky. Nezostal som sklamaný, pretože článok na Reuters mi poskytol informácie o tom, že Moderna práve aktualizovala svoju vakcínu.

Date: 30.8.2023
Predaj áut v Európe v júli vzrástol

Napriek tomu, že ceny áut boli v poslednom roku veľmi vysoké, zdá sa, že ceny začínajú klesať. Našiel som článok na Reuters, ktorý potvrdzoval moje predpovede, a kde sa písalo, že európske predaje áut vzrástli v júli o 15%, zatiaľ čo predaje EV boli dramaticky vyššie na úrovni okolo 61%, čo je veľmi pekný skok.

Date: 23.8.2023
Microsoft a Activision budú ponúkať streamovacie práva

Myslím, že veľa ľudí našej generácie a mladších dôverne pozná hru Call of Duty. Bol to veľký hit za mojich tínedžerských rokov a stále mám na toto obdobie pekné spomienky, aj keď boli vytvorené online. Pred časom sa objavili správy, že spoločnosť Activision, tvorcu spomínanej hry, kupuje Microsoft. Teraz som našiel články, že sa na pozadí dejú ešte ďalšie veci.

Date: 9.8.2023
IPO spoločnosti Arm sa blíži

V dnešnom denníku som sa to rozhodol urobiť trochu inak. Zvyčajne vždy robím poznámky o svojom obchodovaní, dnes však budem robiť poznámky pre seba o blížiacom sa IPO spoločnosti Arm. Rozhodol som sa to urobiť týmto spôsobom, pretože som si prečítal dva veľmi zaujímavé články o významných spoločnostiach, ktoré budú investovať do prvotnej verejnej ponuky akcií spoločnosti Arm.

Varovanie pred rizikom: Finančné rozdielové zmluvy sú zložité nástroje a sú spojené s vysokým rizikom rýchlych finančných strát v dôsledku pákového efektu. Na 87.79% účtov neprofesionálnych investorov dochádza k finančným stratám pri obchodovaní s finančnými rozdielovými zmluvami u tohto poskytovateľa. Mali by ste zvážiť, či chápete, ako finančné rozdielové zmluvy fungujú, a či si môžete dovoliť podstúpiť vysoké riziko, že utrpíte finančné straty.